Kwiiyure zasekuseni ngoLwesine ixesha laseBeijing, i-Federal Reserve ibhengeze isisombululo sayo senzala kaNovemba, ithatha isigqibo sokuphakamisa uluhlu olujoliswe kuyo kwireyithi yemali ye-federal ngamanqaku angama-75 ukuya kwi-3.75% -4.00%, inqanaba lesine ngokulandelelana elibukhali 75 ukunyuka ukususela ngoJuni, kunye nenqanaba lezinga lenzala emva koko liyenyuka ukuya phezulu ukususela ngoJanuwari 2008. Usihlalo weFed uJerome Powell uthe kwinkomfa yabezindaba eyalandelayo ukuba isantya sokunyuka kwesantya singancitshiswa ngoDisemba, kodwa ukunyuka kwexabiso lexesha elifutshane. okulindelekileyo yinkxalabo, ukuba kuphambi kwexesha ukunqumamisa ukonyuka kwamazinga, kwaye okona kujoliswe kuko kumlinganiselo womgaqo-nkqubo wayo kunokuba phezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe ngaphambili.Kwiinkxalabo zangaphandle malunga nomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho, uPowell uthe nangona ekholelwa ukuba i-Fed "isenako" ukufikelela kwindawo ethambileyo, kodwa indlela "incinci".I-Powell malunga nethagethi yezinga lenzala lokugqibela ingaba phezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe kwaye ingxelo engathandekiyo yokufika ethambileyo yaba yenye yezinto ezibangela ukuphela kokuntywila kwizitokhwe zase-US, amaxabiso egolide aphesheya abuyele ezantsi, isalathiso sedola sibuyele kumanqaku angama-112. , Izivuno zebhondi zase-US zinyuke ukuya kwiiveki ezimbini eziphezulu.

Yiza ubone impembelelo ye-Federal Reserve rate yokunyuka kwimarike yekotoni, ngenxa yokunyuka kwezinga elikhulu liye lagaywa kwangaphambili, isisombululo sakhululwa emva kokufika okungalunganga, iikontraka ezintathu zokuqala kwimarike yase-US ziphezulu, ezinye iikontraka. nayo yenyuka ngokwamanqanaba ahlukeneyo.Kwaye ujonge emva kumaxesha amahlanu ukusukela oko kunyuka kwexabiso lenzala kulo nyaka, ikamva lomqhaphu we-ICE kunye nomqhaphu weZheng amaxesha amane emva koko wavuka, apho imakethi yangaphandle inyuke ngokusisiseko ngaphezulu kwentengiso yasekhaya, ngelixa ukonyuka okukhulu kwimarike yangaphandle emva koku. izinga lokunyuka, ixesha laseNew York liye lahlala iintsuku ezimbini ezilandelelanayo zokuyeka ucaphulo, oluqhubekile luwela kufutshane ne-70 yeesenti / iponti kwindawo yokuqala yemarike, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba icothise isantya sokunyuka kwenzala emva kwe-Fed ngoNovemba. , ukuthengwa kwemarike ephantsi kwimarike kunye nezinye izinto ezinxulumene nokunyuka kwezinga likaJuni kunye nesicwangciso sokunciphisa emva kokuba imarike iphantsi.Kwaye ukusuka kwinqanaba le-Fed linyuka emva kwexesha elide leendlela zemarike, ngaphezu kokunyuka kukaJulayi ekulandeleni, ezinye iinqanaba ezahlukeneyo zokunyuka ziye zaba yimfuno yemarike kulindeleke ukuba ibe buthathaka, amaxabiso ekotoni aqhubeka ehla njengeyona nto iphambili. ufuthe oluqhubayo.

Oku kunyuka kwezinga le-Fed mhlawumbi kuya kuba lizinga lokugqibela elibalulekileyo lokunyuka kumjikelo wangoku, kodwa umlinganiselo wenzala unokuba phezulu kunoko kulindelweyo.Ngokutsho Chicagoland CME Interest Rate Watch isixhobo, imarike ngoku ilindele umjikelo izinga ukunyuka phezulu ngoMeyi kulo nyaka uzayo, kunye neqondo lenzala ekujoliswe 5.00% -5.25% kunye nenqanaba terminal median ukunyuka ukuya 5.08%.I-Fed iya kuphepha impazamo yokungaqini ngokwaneleyo okanye ukuphuma ngokukhawuleza ngokukhawuleza.Olu chungechunge lweengxelo kwiimarike ukukhulula umqondiso kukuba: ukuqinisa nangona kukho ukucotha, kodwa kwakhona ungathandabuzeki malunga nokuzimisela kwethu ukunyusa izinga lenzala.Ukunyuka kwamva nje kweoli ekrwada kunye namaxabiso okutya okanye umkhwa ozinzile, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu e-United States kunzima ukukhululeka kakhulu kwixesha elifutshane, ngelixa i-United States iya kungenisa ukhetho oluphakathi kule nyanga, ngoko i-Fed iya kuqhubeka. vakalisa ukuzimisela ukunciphisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kodwa kwakhona ayikwazi ukuvumela idatha yezoqoqosho ukuba yehle ngokukhawuleza kwimeko, enokuthi ibe yinkcazo "yombini ekhululekile kwaye iqinile" ye-contradiction lies.Kwaye impembelelo yayo kwimarike yekotoni, uxinzelelo oluphantsi lulindeleke ukuba lube ngaphantsi kwexabiso lenzala yangaphambili, kodwa inzala yonke iyanyuka, i-balance sheet iqinisa, ukusetyenziswa kwendawo yokuhlala kusekho ukunyanzeliswa kwexesha elide.Urhulumente wase-US kwakhona kutshanje ubhengeze i-4.5 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ekuncedeni ukunceda iindleko eziphantsi zokufudumeza kwiintsapho zaseMelika kulo busika kunye ne-9 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kwinkxaso-mali karhulumente evela kuMthetho wokuNcitshiswa kwexabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ukuphucula amandla ombane asekhaya ukuze uphumelele unyulo lwaphakathi.Ngemali karhulumente "etsala iivoti," kulindeleke ukuba ukudodobala kwexesha elifutshane kulindeleke ukuba kucothe kancinci, kodwa imeko yexesha elide kunzima ukuyitshintsha.
Umthombo weendaba: Uthungelwano lweTelephu