Ngokwesibikezelo sakamuva sokukhiqiza seNational Commodity Supply Company of Brazil (CONAB), inani lokukhiqizwa kweBrazil ngo-2022/23 kulindeleke ukuthi lehle libe amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.734, lehle ngamathani angu-49,000 noma ngo-1.8% kusukela ngonyaka odlule (isibikezelo sikaMashi 2022 Indawo kakotini yaseBrazil engamahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.665, ikhuphuke ngo-4% kusukela ngonyaka odlule), ngenxa yesifunda esikhulu sikakotini sase-Mato Grosso indawo yokutshala ukotini yesifunda kulindeleke ukuthi yehliswe ngamahektha angu-30,700 kusukela ngonyaka odlule Isamba somkhiqizo sabuyekezwa phansi ukungabi bikho kokulungiswa kwesivuno.
Embikweni kaJanuwari 2023, iCONAB ilindele ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini waseBrazil ngo-2022/23 kuzofinyelela kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.973, okukhuphuke ngo-16.6% kusukela ngo-2021/22, okwesibili okuphezulu kakhulu kwirekhodi, nomehluko wamathani angu-239,000 phakathi kwemibiko emibili.Uma kuqhathaniswa ne-CONAB, i-Brazilian Cotton Growers Association (ABRAPA) inethemba elikhulu.Muva nje, uMarcelo Duarte, umqondisi wezobudlelwano bamazwe ngamazwe we-ABRAPA, uthe indawo entsha yokutshala ukotini eBrazil ngo-2023 kulindeleke ukuthi ibe amahektha ayizigidi ezingu-1.652, ukukhuphuka kancane ngo-1% unyaka nonyaka;isivuno kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ku-122 kg/acre, okuwukukhuphuka ngo-17% unyaka nonyaka;ukukhiqizwa kulindeleke ukuthi kube amathani ayizigidi ezingu-3.018, okuwukukhuphuka cishe ngo-18% unyaka nonyaka.
Kodwa-ke, abanye abadayisi bakakotini bamazwe ngamazwe, izinkampani ezihwebayo kanye nabathumeli bakakotini baseBrazil bahlulela ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kukakotini ka-ABRAPA ka-2022/23 noma ukucabangela ngokweqile, isidingo sokukhama kahle amanzi, ngenxa yezizathu ezintathu ezibalulekile, kuhlanganise nalezi ezilandelayo:
Okokuqala, akuyona nje indawo yokutshala ukotini yeSifundazwe saseMato Grosso engazange ifinyelele umgomo, esinye isifunda esikhiqiza ukotini esikhulu sase-Bahia State ngenxa yesimo sezulu, ukuncintisana kokudla nokotini komhlaba, okokufaka kokutshala ukotini kuyakhuphuka, ukungaqiniseki okuphezulu mayelana nembuyiselo nezinye izici zendawo yokuhlwanyela. futhi iphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe (abalimi bakhulisa umdlandla wesoya ohlangothini oluphezulu).
Okwesibili, isivuno sikakotini wase-Brazil ka-2022/23 kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke ngo-17% unyaka nonyaka kuyisihluthulelo sesimo se-El Niño senzeka lapho izindawo ezikhiqiza ukotini eziyinhloko e-Brazil “ziyimvula eningi yasebusika, imvula eningi kakhulu ngesikhathi sokukhula ukotini” izici, ezikhuthaza ukukhula kukakotini ngaphansi kwamazinga okushisa aphezulu.Kodwa ngokombono wamanje, isifunda esisempumalanga yeBrazil sinemvula encane, isomiso esiningi, noma sidonsa imilenze yokukhula kwesivuno sikakotini.
Okwesithathu, amanani entengo kawoyela ongahluziwe ka-2022/23 namanye amandla, umanyolo nezinye izinto zezolimo ukuze zikhuphuke kancane kancane izindleko zokutshala ukotini, izinga lokuphatha abalimi baseBrazil / abalimi, okokufaka ngokomzimba namakhemikhali noma okubuthakathaka, isivuno sikakotini esingesihle.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Apr-19-2023
